Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 29% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.29
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.56
X/2
8%
9.03
X/X
14%
5.78
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
8%
6.54
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Liverpool win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.90/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.58
+8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.2 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.88 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
02.11.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
30.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
31.03.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.10.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.01.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.89 xG 1.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
448 Passes 470
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
38 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool saw off Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Liverpool had 49% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 51%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool and 1.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 56%, draw 23%, Brighton & Hove Albion 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
13 Dec 2025
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