Alcione 0-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.10/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.96
-17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2025 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcione İTC
30.08.2024 Alcione 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona edged past Alcione 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alcione at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alcione had 57% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 43%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Alcione and 0.50 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Virtus Verona?

Alcione 0-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alcione 45%, draw 29%, Virtus Verona 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcione), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcione) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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