Picerno 1-2 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 57%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.08/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.66
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2023 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 Picerno Picerno HAZ
28.07.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-2
AWAY Salernitana
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over Picerno 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Picerno had 37% of the ball to Salernitana's 63%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salernitana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Salernitana?

Picerno 1-2 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Picerno 29%, draw 26%, Salernitana 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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