Campobasso 1-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.66/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.41
+35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campobasso
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Perugia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 2-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
09.12.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
1-0
AWAY Perugia
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso squeezed past Perugia 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Campobasso made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Campobasso had 40% of the ball to Perugia's 60%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Campobasso and 1.50 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Perugia?

Campobasso 1-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 40%, draw 29%, Perugia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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