Campobasso 2-1 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.91/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.28
+56% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campobasso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Perugia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-1 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
2-1
AWAY Perugia
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over Perugia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Campobasso found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Campobasso had 38% of the ball to Perugia's 62%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Perugia?

Campobasso 2-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 39%, draw 31%, Perugia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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