Cavese 1-1 Siracusa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 37% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Siracusa EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.93/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.45
-30% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-1
AWAY Siracusa
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese and Siracusa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cavese had 41% of the ball to Siracusa's 59%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Siracusa?

Cavese 1-1 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie C on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Siracusa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cavese 40%, draw 26%, Siracusa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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