HHC Hardenberg 4-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 28%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
+12% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
2.02 xG 1.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
237 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 4-0 HT 2-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
18.05.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
09.12.2023 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 1-2 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
23.02.2019 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 4-2 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
29.04.2017 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-4 HT 2-1 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
4-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg ran out comfortable winners over AFC Amsterdamsche 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 58% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 42%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 2.40 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

HHC Hardenberg 4-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 49%, draw 27%, AFC Amsterdamsche 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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