GVVV 0-4 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.64
2-3 Goals
42%
2.28
4-5 Goals
27%
2.33
6+ Goals
16%
4.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.93
1/2
6%
19.0
1/X
4%
12.9
X/1
15%
7.17
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
5%
7.26
2/1
4%
22.7
2/2
15%
2.86
2/X
13%
12.65
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.93 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.6pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.82/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.48
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 4-1 HT 1-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
21.09.2024 GVVV GVVV 3-3 HT 2-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
13.04.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-3 HT 2-3 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
11.11.2023 GVVV GVVV 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
POST-MATCH GVVV vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City swept aside GVVV 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was GVVV at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for GVVV and 2.50 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of GVVV vs Jong Almere City?

GVVV 0-4 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split GVVV 47%, draw 22%, Jong Almere City 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (GVVV), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GVVV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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