Jong Almere City 4-1 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.19/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.56
+34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
0W-3D-0L
AWAY GVVV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 GVVV GVVV 3-3 HT 2-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
13.04.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-3 HT 2-3 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
11.11.2023 GVVV GVVV 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
4-1
AWAY GVVV
44% Ball Possession 56%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City ran out comfortable winners over GVVV 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Jong Almere City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 44% of the ball to GVVV's 56%, shots finished 23-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jong Almere City and 2.00 for GVVV.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Jong Almere City 4-1 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 36%, draw 28%, GVVV 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
15 Feb 2025
16:00 Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
16:15 Koninklijke HFC vs De Treffers Analysis →
16:30 BVV Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdamsche Analysis →
16:30 Noordwijk vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →
16:30 Scheveningen vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
17:00 SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20 Analysis →