GVVV 3-3 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.74
-8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-3 HT 2-3 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
11.11.2023 GVVV GVVV 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
3-3
AWAY Jong Almere City
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GVVV vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV and Jong Almere City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was GVVV at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, GVVV had 53% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 47%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GVVV and 1.50 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of GVVV vs Jong Almere City?

GVVV 3-3 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split GVVV 50%, draw 22%, Jong Almere City 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GVVV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GVVV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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