ACV 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
34%
3.94
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
22%
+11.9pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 61%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.66/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.48
+45% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
20.04.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-1 HT 0-1 ACV HOLTW
18.11.2023 ACV 2-1 HT 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
1-1
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ACV vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV and Rijnsburgse Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rijnsburgse Boys at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ACV had 43% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 57%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ACV had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ACV and 1.00 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of ACV vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

ACV 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ACV 19%, draw 34%, Rijnsburgse Boys 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Under 2.5
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