ADO 20 1-6 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-15.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 72%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.56/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.76
-52% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO 20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
18.05.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
09.12.2023 ADO 20 ADO 20 1-2 HT 0-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO 20
1-6
AWAY SV Spakenburg
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ADO 20 vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg cruised past ADO 20 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, ADO 20 had 32% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 68%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ADO 20 and 2.50 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of ADO 20 vs SV Spakenburg?

ADO 20 1-6 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO 20 vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ADO 20 22%, draw 25%, SV Spakenburg 53%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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