AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.25/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+10% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.77 xG 0.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
28 Total Shots 6
13 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 1
404 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2019 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 HT 2-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2-2
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche and BVV Barendrecht shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 57% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs BVV Barendrecht?

AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 54%, draw 24%, BVV Barendrecht 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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