BVV Barendrecht 1-3 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
33%
+7.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 46%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.51/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.41
+83% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.39 xG 3.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
219 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
13.04.2019 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0 HT 2-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
1-3
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche saw off BVV Barendrecht 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 40% — and on the day AFC Amsterdamsche made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 53% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 47%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 2.50 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

BVV Barendrecht 1-3 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 41%, draw 19%, AFC Amsterdamsche 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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