Jong Sparta 1-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.5
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
64%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
25%
-7.4pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
63%
Away Win
56%
+7.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 61%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.05/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.01
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
477 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
200 Passes 178
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 2-4 HT 0-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
04.05.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 3-4 HT 2-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
25.11.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
08.05.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 1-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-1
AWAY Katwijk
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta and Katwijk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Katwijk at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 39% of the ball to Katwijk's 61%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Jong Sparta and 2.25 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Katwijk?

Jong Sparta 1-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 17%, draw 19%, Katwijk 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
15 Feb 2025
16:00 Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
16:15 Koninklijke HFC vs De Treffers Analysis →
16:30 BVV Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdamsche Analysis →
16:30 Noordwijk vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →
16:30 Scheveningen vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
17:00 SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20 Analysis →