Katwijk 2-4 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
35%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
63%
-25.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
35%
Away Win
18%
+17.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.85/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.45
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
178 Passes 200
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 3-4 HT 2-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
25.11.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-2 HT 0-2 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
08.05.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 2-1 HT 1-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
2-4
AWAY Jong Sparta
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta beat Katwijk 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Jong Sparta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Katwijk had 63% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 37%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Katwijk and 1.67 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?

Katwijk 2-4 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 37%, draw 28%, Jong Sparta 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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