SV Spakenburg 4-2 ADO 20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.0pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
3.05/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.04
+50% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
3W-0D-0L
AWAY ADO 20
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 ADO 20 ADO 20 1-6 HT 0-4 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
18.05.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-0 HT 2-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
09.12.2023 ADO 20 ADO 20 1-2 HT 0-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
4-2
AWAY ADO 20
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg beat ADO 20 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 56% of the ball to ADO 20's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for SV Spakenburg and 0.67 for ADO 20.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20?

SV Spakenburg 4-2 ADO 20 in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs ADO 20?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 64%, draw 16%, ADO 20 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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