Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.14
-13% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.01.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
24.08.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2-0
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis beat BVV Barendrecht 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Excelsior Maassluis as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 48% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 52%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BVV Barendrecht led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.00 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht?

Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 47%, draw 22%, BVV Barendrecht 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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