BVV Barendrecht 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 27%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+60% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
2-0
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht saw off Excelsior Maassluis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BVV Barendrecht as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 56% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 44%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis?

BVV Barendrecht 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 54%, draw 25%, Excelsior Maassluis 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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