Jong Sparta 1-3 RKAV Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
19%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
19%
Away Win
28%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY RKAV Volendam EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.55/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-3
AWAY RKAV Volendam
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs RKAV Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKAV Volendam beat Jong Sparta 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Sparta at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 61% of the ball to RKAV Volendam's 39%, shots finished 20-16.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs RKAV Volendam?

Jong Sparta 1-3 RKAV Volendam in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs RKAV Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 52%, draw 29%, RKAV Volendam 19%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Sparta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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