SV Spakenburg 2-0 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
9%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.3pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.97
+83% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
0W-0D-3L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
322 Passes 177
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 11
37 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
16.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-0 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
25.02.2017 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
2-0
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg saw off HHC Hardenberg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 43% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 57%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for SV Spakenburg and 2.33 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs HHC Hardenberg?

SV Spakenburg 2-0 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 41%, draw 34%, HHC Hardenberg 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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