AFC Amsterdamsche 1-4 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
42%
+10.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.58/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
+53% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
230 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.64 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
217 Passes 380
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
20.04.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 HT 2-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
18.11.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
06.04.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 2-3 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
10.03.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-4
AWAY Katwijk
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk cruised past AFC Amsterdamsche 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 57% of the ball to Katwijk's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 1.60 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-4 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 53%, draw 22%, Katwijk 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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