Safa 0-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

Safa
0-1 HT 0-0
Al Ahed
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.01/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.16
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Ahed
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12.07.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-1 HT 1-1 Safa Safa LUBN
15.06.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-2 HT 1-2 Safa Safa LUBN
01.05.2025 Safa Safa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
18.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 0-0 HT 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed edged past Safa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Ahed found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Safa had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Safa and 0.50 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Ahed?

Safa 0-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Safa 36%, draw 31%, Al Ahed 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Safa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Safa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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