Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Casa Pia
POR
1-3
HT 0-0
Gil Vicente
POR
Casa Pia 1-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia and Gil Vicente shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Casa Pia had 33% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 67%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.15 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Casa Pia and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente?
Casa Pia 1-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 30%, draw 29%, Gil Vicente 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente), BTTS No went the other way.