FK Partizan 3-2 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
77%
-1.2pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.5pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.22/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.96
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.3 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.51 xG 0.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
432 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-7 HT 0-3 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
24.11.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
19.07.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
08.05.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-3 HT 2-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
13.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
3-2
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.39 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
307 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan nicked a narrow win over Napredak Krusevac 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, FK Partizan had 52% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 48%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.39 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FK Partizan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FK Partizan and 1.00 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac?

FK Partizan 3-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 76%, draw 15%, Napredak Krusevac 9%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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