Balzan FC 2-1 Zurrieq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.5pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+13.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Zurrieq EU Bookmakers 11%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Zurrieq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC nicked a narrow win over Zurrieq 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Balzan FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Zurrieq?

Balzan FC 2-1 Zurrieq in the Malta - FA Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Zurrieq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 60%, draw 17%, Zurrieq 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balzan FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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