14/01/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaskala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
21%
Draw
9%
11%
Away Win
6%
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
48%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sliema Wanderers v Marsaskala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sliema Wanderers
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marsaskala
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
472 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
221 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaskala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sliema Wanderers cruised past Marsaskala 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaskala?
Sliema Wanderers 3-0 Marsaskala in the Malta - FA Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaskala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 68%, draw 21%, Marsaskala 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Malta - FA Cup
14 Jan 2024