Luqa 1-2 Swieqi Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luqa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Swieqi Utd EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Luqa vs Swieqi Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swieqi Utd nicked a narrow win over Luqa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Swieqi Utd made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Luqa vs Swieqi Utd?

Luqa 1-2 Swieqi Utd in the Malta - FA Cup on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luqa vs Swieqi Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swieqi Utd win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Luqa 32%, draw 31%, Swieqi Utd 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swieqi Utd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swieqi Utd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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