Aldershot Town 2-2 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.73
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
8%
7.48
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
14%
5.35
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.58/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.56
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
154 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 106 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
23.02.2019 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.11.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
29.04.2017 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
20.08.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
28.03.2016 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-2
AWAY Braintree Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 12
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Braintree Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 47% of the ball to Braintree Town's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aldershot Town and 0.83 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Braintree Town?

Aldershot Town 2-2 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 38%, draw 28%, Braintree Town 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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