Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Jan 2025

Ebbsfleet United
1-1 HT 0-1
Yeovil
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs Yeovil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 35% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.53
1/2
11%
24.7
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
14%
9.41
X/2
11%
3.96
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.26
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Yeovil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.92/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.17
-20% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
86 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 122 · 94%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ebbsfleet United vs Yeovil Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 3-2 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.08.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-3 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Yeovil — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-1
AWAY Yeovil
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Yeovil couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yeovil at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 37% of the ball to Yeovil's 63%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 3.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Yeovil?

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 28%, draw 28%, Yeovil 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeovil), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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