Yeovil 3-2 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 20 Aug 2024

Yeovil
3-2 HT 2-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Yeovil vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 38% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
11%
4.0
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
7.71
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.38
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · X/2 at 7.71 — our 17% vs market 9.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-12.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.8pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeovil v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.92/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.09
-44% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Yeovil vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
13.08.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-3 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL

Yeovil 3-2 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
3-2
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past Ebbsfleet United 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Yeovil made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 44% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 56%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Ebbsfleet United?

Yeovil 3-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 37%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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