Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
8%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.8
X/1
21%
3.48
X/2
7%
16.4
X/X
8%
6.83
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
8%
13.3
2/X
8%
21.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.52
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
171 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 145 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses 8.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
8 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.12.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
28.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
21.08.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston squeezed past Airdrieonians 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Livingston had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Livingston and 0.67 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Airdrieonians?

Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Livingston 59%, draw 23%, Airdrieonians 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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