Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.87
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.32
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
16%
4.88
X/X
18%
3.22
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.6
2/X
4%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.6pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.04
-10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.2 Crosses 10.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
23.11.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
31.08.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
02.03.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 2-2 HT 1-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
21.10.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.04.2022 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United beat Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.00 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Dunfermline Athletic 0-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 31%, draw 28%, Ayr United 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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