Dender EH 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

Dender EH
0-2 HT 0-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅14/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Cup – 2025/2026

Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.55
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1
5%
12.45
X/2
17%
3.94
X/X
9%
5.68
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
39%
1.88
2/X
4%
16.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.8pp
63%
Away Win
62%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dender EH v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-99% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.29 xG 2.28
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
217 Passes 484
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
01.03.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
27.07.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL

Dender EH 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-2
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise got the better of Dender EH 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dender EH had 50% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 50%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dender EH and 1.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Dender EH 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 18%, draw 19%, Union Saint-Gilloise 63%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →