Le Mans FC 1-0 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.74
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
17%
4.3
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.98
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.34/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.26
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boulogne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Boulogne Boulogne 3-2 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
11.03.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
01.10.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
23.02.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
11.09.2020 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
23.03.2012 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-0
AWAY Boulogne
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Boulogne 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 53% of the ball to Boulogne's 47%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.83 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Boulogne?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 42%, draw 31%, Boulogne 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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