Quevilly 1-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.04
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
17%
4.13
X/2
10%
8.56
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.3
2/X
8%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.10/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.35
-29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
374 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-3 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
02.02.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.09.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-2 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-2
AWAY Chateauroux
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux nicked a narrow win over Quevilly 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Quevilly had 65% of the ball to Chateauroux's 35%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Quevilly and 2.67 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Chateauroux?

Quevilly 1-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 46%, draw 27%, Chateauroux 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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