Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.03
Over Pick
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.73
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
29%
3.08
6+
12%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.35
+34% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.6 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 418
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
15.09.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
21.01.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
22.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.02.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1-0
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.00 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
383 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past Sparta Rotterdam 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 52% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.00 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.83 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 45%, draw 25%, Sparta Rotterdam 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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