Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Feb 2025

Cracovia Krakow
1-1 HT 0-1
Korona Kielce
📅14/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.7
X/X
10%
4.5
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.06
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.52/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.10
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.6 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
299 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
09.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.07.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
15.12.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.58 xG 0.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
396 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Korona Kielce shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 60% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 40%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.58 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.67 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 46%, draw 25%, Korona Kielce 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5
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