Lech Poznan 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.13
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
9%
6.67
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.56/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.1 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
413 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
03.03.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-0 HT 3-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
28.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.05.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
30.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
09.07.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa PLS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
0-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.51 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
377 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Lech Poznan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 55% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 45%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.50 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Lech Poznan 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 42%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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