AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction — Model Probabilities
AFC Hornchurch v Tonbridge Angels — Team-Based Signals
AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
AFC Hornchurch 3-2 Tonbridge Angels — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Hornchurch squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in AFC Hornchurch's favour, shots finished 13-8.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for AFC Hornchurch against 0.60 for Tonbridge Angels.
AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Result & Final Score
AFC Hornchurch 3 - 2 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AFC Hornchurch vs Tonbridge Angels Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 57%, draw 24%, Tonbridge Angels 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.