Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lazio v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lazio 0-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta got the better of Lazio 2-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 53%. At 1.92 (~52%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Lazio's favour, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Lazio against 1.33 for Atalanta.
Lazio vs Atalanta Result & Final Score
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lazio 27%, draw 30%, Atalanta 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.