Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
Atalanta 0-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio squeezed past Atalanta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atalanta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Atalanta had 58% of the ball to Lazio's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atalanta and 1.17 for Lazio.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Lazio?
Atalanta 0-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Lazio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 45%, draw 26%, Lazio 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atalanta) went the other way.