Empoli 0-0 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.78
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.48
X/2
14%
6.1
X/X
15%
3.85
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
11%
4.46
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.44
-18% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.9 Crosses 22.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cagliari
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
283 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
03.03.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
30.12.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
13.02.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
22.09.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
20.01.2019 Cagliari Cagliari 2-2 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Cagliari
0.33 xG 0.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
187 Passes 234
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Cagliari played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Empoli had 45% of the ball to Cagliari's 55%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.33 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Empoli and 0.67 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Cagliari?

Empoli 0-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Empoli 39%, draw 28%, Cagliari 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Empoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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