Roma vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Juventus
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
3-4
HT 1-1
Juventus
İTA
Roma 1-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Roma and Juventus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Roma had 41% of the ball to Juventus's 59%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.09 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roma and 1.17 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Roma vs Juventus?
Roma 1-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Roma 43%, draw 30%, Juventus 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.