Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.32
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.6
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
10%
8.71
X/X
17%
3.74
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
11%
7.85
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
16.55
Value flag · 2/X at 16.55 — our 11% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.36
-29% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
20.2 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-3 HT 1-2 Torino Torino İTA
12.05.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
02.10.2023 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
14.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
04.01.2023 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
14.05.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.11 xG 0.94
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
385 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
8 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino and Hellas Verona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torino had 61% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 39%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.11 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torino and 0.67 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Torino vs Hellas Verona?

Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torino 39%, draw 34%, Hellas Verona 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5
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