Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-2
HT 1-1
Lazio
İTA
Lazio 1-1 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio and Atalanta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lazio had 40% of the ball to Atalanta's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.62 to 2.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lazio and 1.50 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Atalanta?
Lazio 1-1 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lazio 32%, draw 31%, Atalanta 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta), BTTS No went the other way.