Cagliari 0-3 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Dec 2024

Cagliari
0-3 HT 0-0
Inter
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Cagliari vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.37
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.55
1/X
5%
19.45
X/1
5%
14.55
X/2
15%
3.62
X/X
11%
6.49
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.74
2/X
6%
18.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 70%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.23/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.89
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
20.7 Crosses 22.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Cagliari vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.76 xG 2.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
305 Passes 569
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
28.08.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
15.05.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
12.12.2021 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
11.04.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
13.12.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA

Cagliari 0-3 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
0-3
AWAY Inter
0.31 xG 3.52
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
212 Passes 502
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Cagliari 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cagliari had 35% of the ball to Inter's 65%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.31 to 3.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cagliari and 2.50 for Inter.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Inter?

Cagliari 0-3 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 18%, draw 22%, Inter 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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