Empoli vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
2-2
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
1-3
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
2-1
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTA
Empoli 1-2 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa edged past Empoli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Genoa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Empoli had 59% of the ball to Genoa's 41%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Empoli and 1.33 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Genoa?
Empoli 1-2 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Empoli 36%, draw 36%, Genoa 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.