Parma 2-1 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Dec 2024

Parma
2-1 HT 0-0
Monza
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.66
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.64
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.98
2/X
9%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.26/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.7 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Monza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
293 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2022 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
17.10.2021 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2-1
AWAY Monza
1.36 xG 2.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Parma vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma nicked a narrow win over Monza 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Parma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parma had 44% of the ball to Monza's 56%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.36 to 2.63 — on chances, Monza could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Parma and 0.50 for Monza.

What was the final score of Parma vs Monza?

Parma 2-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Parma 39%, draw 27%, Monza 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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