Inter 2-2 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 14 Apr 2024

Inter
2-2 HT 1-0
Cagliari
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Inter vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
29.5
X/1
18%
3.31
X/2
4%
27.5
X/X
5%
9.13
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
5%
21.85
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
77%
-6.8pp
17%
Draw
15%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.23/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.84
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
501 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.6 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Inter vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cagliari
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.09 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
528 Passes 331
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
15.05.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
12.12.2021 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
11.04.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
13.12.2020 Cagliari Cagliari 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
26.01.2020 Inter Inter 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Inter 2-2 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-2
AWAY Cagliari
2.07 xG 1.07
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 0
568 Passes 318
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter and Cagliari shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Inter had 63% of the ball to Cagliari's 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.07 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Inter and 0.50 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Inter vs Cagliari?

Inter 2-2 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Inter 70%, draw 17%, Cagliari 13%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
14 Apr 2024
13:30 Napoli vs Frosinone Analysis →
16:00 Sassuolo vs Milan Analysis →
19:00 Udinese vs Roma Analysis →